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France, the Netherlands, and Austria have truly made waves in the betting markets, dramatically rising up the odds and solidifying their places as front-runners in the race to clinch the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 crown. As anticipation builds, these nations are now firmly positioned among the top contenders, capturing the attention of fans and betting enthusiasts alike.

Currently, while Sweden continues to bask in the limelight as the favorite, recent developments have shaken up the top ten favorites to win this highly anticipated competition set to take place in the picturesque city of Basel. France has emerged as the formidable contender, holding the title of second favorite thanks to the talents of Louane, whose yet-to-be-released song has already positioned the nation as a leading force to be reckoned with in Switzerland.

Austria finds itself in a similar situation, also waiting for the release of its entry. The highly anticipated track “Wasted Love” by JJ is set to drop on March 6, and the buzz around it has propelled Austria from a modest 10th place to an impressive 5th favorite in the betting odds. Close on their heels, the Netherlands is making significant strides with its entry “C’est la vie” by Claude, which debuted to positive reception last Thursday. The Dutch have surged an impressive five places in the past week and are on the verge of breaking into the top five favorites, adding to the excitement of the upcoming contest.

In stark contrast, the odds for countries like Portugal, Malta, and Germany have not been as favorable. Over the previous week, all three nations have seen a decline in their standing. Germany, in particular, has suffered the most, plummeting eight places to find itself in the 21st position. Portugal, which initially gained momentum following the first Semi-Final of their selection process, has now slipped back to 10th place. Meanwhile, Malta has fallen out of the top ten for the first time since early February, leaving fans and punters questioning the country's prospects.

As of the latest updates from Eurovision World, the percentage chances of victory for the leading contenders as of 11:02 CET (with changes since February 23) are as follows:

  1. Sweden – 19.7% (+0.7%)
  2. France – Louane – 11.2% (+1 place, +2.2%)
  3. Finland – Erika Vikman – “Ich komme” – 7.9% (-1 place, -1.1%)
  4. Estonia – Tommy Cash – “Espresso macchiato” – 5.3% (-0.7%)
  5. Austria – JJ – “Wasted Love” – 4.8% (+5 places, +1.8%)
  6. Netherlands – Claude – “C’est la vie” – 4.7% (+5 places, +1.7%)
  7. Czechia – Adonxs – “Kiss Kiss Goodbye” – 3.6% (+2 places, +0.6%)
  8. Israel – Yuval Raphael – 3.5% (-2 places, -0.5%)
  9. Belgium – Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights” – 2.9% (-1 place, -0.1%)
  10. Portugal – 2.8% (-5 places, -1.2%)
  11. Malta – Miriana Conte – “Kant” – 2.4% (-4 places, -1.6%)
  12. Australia – Go-Jo – “Milkshake Man” – 2.4% (+6 places, +0.4%)
  13. Ukraine – Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray” – 2.3% (+1 place, +0.3%)
  14. Cyprus – Theo Evan – 2% (+1 place, +2.2%)
  15. United Kingdom – 2% (+2 places)
  16. Italy – Lucio Coris – “Volevo essero un duro” – 1.9% (-4 places, -1.1%)
  17. Albania – Shkodra Elektronika – “Zjerm” – 1.6% (+4 places, +0.6%)
  18. San Marino – 1.6% (+12 places, +0.6%)
  19. Lithuania – Katarsis – “Tavo akys” – 1.5% (-3 places, -0.5%)
  20. Ireland – Emmy – “Laika Party” – 1.5% (-1 place, -0.5%)
  21. Germany – Abor & Tynna – “Baller” – 1.3% (-8 places, 0.7%)
  22. Greece – Klavdia – “Asteromata” – 1.3% (-2 places, 0.7%)
  23. Georgia – 1.2% (-1 place, +0.2%)
  24. Poland – Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja” – 1.1% (+3 places, +0.1%)
  25. Switzerland – 1% (+1 place)
  26. Denmark – Sissal – “Halluciantion” – 1% (-3 places)
  27. Norway – Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter” – 0.9% (-2 places, -0.1%)
  28. Azerbaijan – Mamagama – “Run With U” – 0.8% (-4 places, -0.2%)
  29. Armenia – Parg – “Survivor” – 0.8% (-1 place, -0.2%)
  30. Croatia – 0.8% (-1 place, -0.2%)
  31. Slovenia – Klemen – “How Much Time Do We Have Left?” – 0.7% (+2 places, -0.3%)
  32. Latvia – Tautumeitas – “Bur man laimi” – 0.6% (-1 place, -0.4%)
  33. Luxembourg – Laura Thorn – “La poupée monte le son” – 0.6% (-1 place, -0.4%)
  34. Spain – Melody – “Esa diva” – 0.6% (-0.4%)
  35. Iceland – VÆB – “Róa” – 0.6% (+1 place, -0.4%)
  36. Serbia – Princ – “Mila” – 0.6% (-1 place, 0.4%)
  37. Montenegro – Nina Žižić – “Dobrodošli” – 0.4% (-0.6%)

Image Source: Avrotros | Source: Eurovision World

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